Monthly sales of automotive industry for July 2002 were reported at 11,836 units, up 32%MoM, but down 10%YoY. This indicate a reversion to pre-COVID normalcy, completing a “V-shaped” recovery over five months while extending consecutive YoY downtrend to its 21st month (back to levels seen during 2009). Consequently, 7MCY20 total industry offtake was reported at 57,509 units, down 57%YoY), where major constituents moved down for Passenger Cars/LCVs. Recent comparisons reveal …
Read More »State bank of Pakistan must follow the US fed
Federal Reserve of United States has cut rate in an emergency that has created opportunity for other central banks around the globe to cut rate, especially for those who held off so far out due to domestic and external concerns. It is expected that State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) will also follow the suite. However, many analysts expect the SBP to and opt for status quo in the upcoming monetary policy announcement. There are …
Read More »Will the low interest rates support the private sector?
Current benchmark interest rate at 7 percent is the lowest in 42 years in Pakistan. Last month, the central bank kept its policy rate unchanged at after lowering its rate by 100 bps to 7 percent as it was in May. The cut in interest rates would only benefit the economy if the initiative is to support the private sector, otherwise the government’s excessive borrowing from the banking system …
Read More »Performance of the banking sector in Pakistan — Impact of low interest rate on credit
The banking sector through CY13 faced tough challenges with external factors including law and order situation, political uncertainty, strikes causing closure of bank branches in distressed areas to name a few. SBP require banks to have minimum capital of PKR 10 billion by December 2014 which has been a challenge for few banks. The CAR for the banking industry was 17.1 percent in CY14 as compared to 14.9 percent …
Read More »The phenomenon of increasing prices
The economics of public debt is intriguing as well as fascinating! In interest-based capitalistic system, one cannot underestimate the value of debt. The system is designed such that economic progress and growth are made subject to ever-increasing prices of goods and services. The phenomenon of increasing prices is sustained by a corresponding increase in money stock through additional printing of currency. The additionally printed currency, going into an economy’s …
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