Overall fiscal year 2014 was a better year for the economy. As for the actual behavior of various macroeconomic indicators, real GDP during financial year 2014 grew by 4.1 percent compared to 3.7 percent in the previous year and the target of 4.4 percent is better close to meet. The fiscal deficit was indeed contained at 5.5 percent. Growth saw a modest revival, especially in manufacturing. Manpower, for instance, …
Read More »Open economic system is considered as the stimulus factor behind Chinese economic growth
By 2030, China’s economy could be 30 percent larger than that of US. China’s share of global GDP on Purchasing-Power-Parity (PPP) basis rose from 3.7 percent in 1990 to 14.3 percent in 2011 and rose to 16.06 percent this year. During the past 30 years, China’s economy has changed from a centrally planned system that was largely closed to international trade to a more market-oriented that has a rapidly …
Read More »Impact of rebalancing move of China on developing economies
China has been experiencing fastest GDP growth rate (not less than 10 percent) for the last two decades, but global financial crisis emanating in 2007 has resulted in gradual reduction in growth rate, which in recent years has gone down by 2 to 3 percent causing adverse repercussions on its current account surplus also which in the past had hovered around 10 to 12 percent of GDP, but of …
Read More »Agriculture, livestock contributing GDP growth
In Pakistan, the key objective of agriculture sector is to ensure proper production and availability of food for the citizens and also offers livelihoods to people directly involved in the sector along with the value adding chain. The achievement of sustainable progress in agriculture sector (contributes over 22 percent to GDP) completes macroeconomic objectives by its forward and backward linkages with the other sectors. Pakistan agriculture and food security …
Read More »Reasons behind Pakistan’s lower GDP
For the fiscal year 2014, the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific have projected the country’s GDP to pick up to 4.1 percent. A report launched by UNESCAP stated that in the recent months, positive changes had been experienced in the economy of the country which included an improvement in the growth of large scale manufacturing industries; appreciation of the local currency; increase in …
Read More »Low GDP: myth or reality
One often hears statement like: 1) Pakistan is over populated, 2) size of its GDP is too small, 3) per capita income is minuscule, 4) a large percentage of population lives below the poverty line, 5) country has been surviving on borrowed money, 6) load shedding of electricity and gas is extensive and 7) despite being an atomic power, its survival is often threatened by whatever is happening in …
Read More »Business dynamics of the crude oil market
Crude oil determines inflation and also determines the GDP of an oil exporting nation. In more advance economics as discussed earlier, oil is used for investments i.e. trading of commodity futures. Irrespective of the current market price, futures are locked at a higher price being traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange (or NYMEX), as well as the International Petroleum Exchange. Speculation that who trade large volumes can easily …
Read More »Value addition in agriculture
It is often said that share of agriculture in Pakistan’s GDP has reduced to less than one-fourth, which is partly right and partly wrong. The key reason is that the country has failed in achieving higher value additions in the sector. With the reduction in average income of rural population there has been huge migration to urban areas, which has its own repercussions. Therefore, there is a need to …
Read More »Bright prospectus for foreign investment in 2014
The government is taking measures to woo foreign investors as the country possesses huge investment potential in various sectors particularly energy sector. Being the world’s 6th largest populated country with major untapped market it is a delight for foreign investors along a growing middle class, talent pool, natural resource endowments, tourism landscape, maritime wealth, geographic location advantage, English language skills, legal system, social capital and soft power values of …
Read More »No incentive for saving
Pakistan is among world’s those countries which have the lowest savings to GDP ratio, which is mainly because of poor purchasing power. Nearly one-third of total population lives below poverty line. Over the last ten years the gap between rich and poor has widened. Thanks to money whitening policies introduced with regular interval that encourages people to conceal their income. There exists huge undocumented economy and its estimates vary …
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